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Viral Apps: Why Some Spike and Fade While Others Stick

Updated 19 Oct 2026 8 min readCase studiesRetentionGrowth

Every app in this piece reached No. 1 or close to it on the US App Store, and most of them were back outside the top 100 within three months. The ones that survived did not have a bigger spike; they had something for people to do on day eight.

No. 118 → No. 1Lapse, US App Store, Sept 2023
79%Threads Android DAU drop, first month (2023)
9%BeReal installs opening daily, Q3 2022
-70%Lapse daily installs, peak to late Nov 2023

What a chart spike looks like

A viral launch has a recognisable shape in rank data: downloads concentrate into a few days, the app jumps 50–150 places, sits in the top 5 for one to three weeks, then decays as installs fall back toward baseline. Rank follows install velocity, not installed base, so an app can hold No. 1 with a fraction of the audience of the apps below it, and lose it just as fast.

Lapse is the textbook case. In September 2023 it went from No. 118 overall to No. 1 in the US after making new users invite five friends before they could use the app; Appfigures estimated daily installs rose from about 8,000 at the start of the month to about 210,000 at the end, peaking at 218,000 in a single October day 13,14. Eight weeks later it was averaging around 63,000 installs a day, down roughly 70% 14.

No. 1No. 50No. 100No. 150+LaunchWeek 4Week 8Week 12Week 16Peak: both hit No. 1Spike and fade (Lapse, Lensa, Yik Yak)Spike and stick (Threads, ChatGPT)The gap opens in weeks 3–6,when launch installs stop andonly returning users remainRank (higher is better) over 16 weeks from launch, stylised
A stylised comparison of the two rank curves. Both apps reach No. 1 on the same launch spike; the difference is whether install velocity settles at a level that keeps the app in the top 20 or drops it out of the top 150. Shapes are illustrative, based on the rank and install data cited in the text, not plotted from a single dataset.

The seven cases

AppPeakWhat happened nextVerdict
BeRealNo. 1 US free, Jul 25–Sep 2022 unconfirmed; iPhone App of the Year 2022DAU fell through 2023; sold to Voodoo for €500M (2024); 40M MAU claimed (2025)Faded, then stabilised
Clubhouse8.1M downloads by Feb 16, 2021Opened to all Jul 2021; cut over half its staff Apr 2023Faded
Threads100M sign-ups in five days (Jul 2023)Android DAU -79% in a month; 400M MAU by Aug 2025Stuck
LensaNo. 1 in US Photo & Video, Dec 2022Avatar trend passed; no later chart presence foundFaded
LapseNo. 1 US overall, Sep 2023Daily installs -70% within two monthsFaded
Yik Yak (2021)No. 1 US overall, day after relaunch~3.5M installs in 19 months; No. 89 in Social by Mar 2023Faded
NGLNo. 1 US overall, Jun 202215M installs by July; FTC settlement, under-18 ban (2024)Faded

BeReal: the spike that lasted a summer

BeReal held the top of the US free chart from late July 2022 into September (dates from secondary trackers, unverified) and was named Apple's iPhone App of the Year that November 5. By October 2022 Sensor Tower counted more than 53 million installs, with monthly installs still rising from 12.3 million in August to 14.7 million in September. The warning sign was already visible: only about 9% of active Android installs opened the app on a given day, against 39% for Instagram and 29% for TikTok 1.

A year later Similarweb estimated global monthly actives at about 16 million, down from roughly 20 million, with US monthly users falling from a 3.7 million peak in November 2022 to just over 3 million in August 2023; BeReal disputed the figures and said it had more than 25 million active users 2. Voodoo bought it for €500 million in June 2024 3, and by April 2025 the company was claiming 40 million monthly users and turning on ads 4. BeReal's mechanic, one notification a day, was original but gave people nothing to do between prompts.

Clubhouse: scarcity without a product underneath

Clubhouse had the opposite problem. Its invite-only design made the February 2021 spike enormous relative to its size: App Annie estimated global downloads rose from 3.5 million on February 1 to 8.1 million by February 16, with 2.6 million of those in the US 6. The app only opened to everyone in July 2021, with 10 million people on the waitlist by the company's count 7. By then the lockdown conditions that made live audio compelling were gone. In April 2023 the company cut more than half its staff 8.

Threads: the biggest drop, and the stick

Threads signed up 100 million people in five days in July 2023, riding Instagram's account graph 9. Then engagement collapsed: Similarweb's Android panel showed worldwide daily users falling from 49.3 million on July 7 to 10.3 million on August 7, a 79% drop, with US time per user falling from about 21 minutes to 3 10. On a rank chart this looked like every other fade.

The difference is what Meta did in the following two years: DMs, custom feeds, fediverse integration, communities and a constant drip of features. By August 2025 Threads reported more than 400 million monthly users, and Similarweb's June 2025 estimate put its mobile daily users at 115 million, up 128% year over year 11. The spike-and-fade shape is not destiny; it is the shape of a launch that has not yet earned its second month.

Takeaway. A 70–80% drop from peak DAU in the first month is normal for a viral launch. What separates Threads from BeReal is not the size of the drop but what shipped during it.

Lensa: a feature trend, not an app trend

Lensa's Magic Avatars launched in late November 2022 and took the app to No. 1 in the US Photo & Video chart within days; Sensor Tower estimated 1.6 million downloads in November, up 631% from October, with Brazil alone providing 31% of them 12. The product was a $3.99 one-off purchase for 50 AI portraits 12. That is the tell: people bought a trend, not a habit. Once the avatar wave passed on social media, the reason to reopen the app went with it.

Lapse: forced invites, fast decay

Lapse's five-invite gate is the purest example of buying rank with a growth mechanic. It worked for roughly six weeks, then daily installs fell about 70% from the peak 14. Forced invites fill the funnel with people who did not choose the app, so the invited cohort retains worse than organic installs. The company claimed millions of daily users, which the reporting could not verify 14.

Yik Yak: a nostalgia spike

Yik Yak relaunched on iOS in August 2021 and briefly hit No. 1 overall in the US the next day, driven by people who remembered the 2014 original 15,16. By March 2023 it had about 3.5 million installs from the relaunch, sat at No. 89 in Social Networking, and had quietly been absorbed into Sidechat's developer account 16. A spike built on recognition has nowhere to go once the curious have looked.

NGL: a spike with a rotten core

NGL became the No. 1 app on the US App Store in June 2022 by letting Instagram users collect anonymous questions, and passed 15 million installs and $2.4 million in revenue by July 17,18. Part of that engagement was manufactured: the app sent fake questions when a user's link got little traction, then sold $9.99-a-week "hints" about the sender. After reporting exposed the practice, NGL labelled the fake messages and cut the price 18. In July 2024 the FTC and the Los Angeles DA settled with the company for $5 million and banned it from serving under-18s, the first order of its kind 19. The spike was real; the retention was partly fiction, and the regulator eventually priced it.

What retention decided

Three things separated the stickers from the faders.

A reason to return that does not depend on the trend. Threads had the conversation graph of Instagram; Lensa had a one-off purchase. BeReal had a daily prompt but nothing between prompts.

Shipping through the trough. Every viral app loses most of its launch cohort. Threads kept shipping for two years; Clubhouse spent its window on a waitlist.

Honest engagement. Forced invites (Lapse) and fabricated messages (NGL) raise install velocity and lower the retention of the people they bring in. The chart cannot tell the difference for a few weeks. The retention curve can, and so, eventually, could the FTC.

Takeaway. Judge a viral launch at week six, not week one. If daily installs have settled above the pre-launch baseline and D30 retention is holding, the spike bought you a real audience. If both are back where they started, it bought you a screenshot.

How this shows up in the charts

The two curves in the figure are visible in rank history. On the US iOS free chart a sticker holds a stable rank for months with small daily moves; a fader shows a vertical climb on the movers page, one to three weeks near the top, then a long slide that is usually faster than the climb. Because rank reflects install velocity rather than installed base, the fade begins the moment launch coverage, invites or paid spend stop, which is why we suggest reading how App Store rankings work alongside the retention benchmarks before judging any launch by its peak position.

Sources

  1. TechCrunch (Sensor Tower, 42matters, Apptopia): BeReal tops 53M installs, but only 9% open the app daily, estimates claim (Oct 10, 2022)
  2. TechCrunch (Similarweb): BeReal pushes back at report that it's losing steam, says it now has 25M daily users (Sep 29, 2023)
  3. TechCrunch: BeReal is being acquired by mobile apps and games company Voodoo for €500M (Jun 11, 2024)
  4. TechCrunch: BeReal, which says it has 40M monthly users, is rolling out ads in the US (Apr 10, 2025)
  5. Apple Newsroom: App Store Awards celebrate the best apps and games of 2022 (Nov 28, 2022)
  6. TechCrunch (App Annie): Report: social audio app Clubhouse has topped 8 million global downloads (Feb 18, 2021)
  7. TechCrunch: Clubhouse opens to everyone, exits beta (Jul 21, 2021)
  8. TechCrunch: Clubhouse needs to fix things, and today it cut more than half of staff (Apr 27, 2023)
  9. Wikipedia: Threads (social network), launch sign-up timeline with cited press (accessed Oct 2026)
  10. Similarweb: Threads' first month (Aug 10, 2023)
  11. TechCrunch: Threads now has more than 400 million monthly active users (Aug 12, 2025)
  12. TechCrunch (Sensor Tower): Lensa AI climbs the App Store charts as its 'magic avatars' go viral (Dec 1, 2022)
  13. TechCrunch (data.ai): Photo-sharing app Lapse hits the top of the App Store by forcing you to invite your friends (Sep 26, 2023)
  14. TechCrunch (Appfigures): Lapse, the photo app that forced users to invite friends, is running out of steam (Nov 27, 2023)
  15. TechCrunch: Yik Yak returns from the dead (Aug 16, 2021)
  16. TechCrunch (data.ai): Anonymous app Sidechat picks up rival Yik Yak, and users aren't happy (Mar 16, 2023)
  17. TechCrunch (Sensor Tower): Anonymous social app NGL tops 15M installs, $2.4M in revenue as users complain about being scammed (Jul 11, 2022)
  18. TechCrunch: Top anonymous social app NGL forced to stop tricking its users (Aug 4, 2022)
  19. NBC News: FTC bans anonymous messaging app NGL for minors (Jul 9, 2024)

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